Wednesday, July 18, 2012

WEDNESDAY JULY 4th #2

 MLS : WEDNESDAY JULY 4th

We have done really well with our MLS bets this summer and I expect that to continue, but to be honest, it is the Sunday fixtures this week which really excite me, many of the teams will  then be playing their third start inside seven/ eight days and some will have played the first two in brutal conditions. But I do have two picks for today.

1.25 units Colorado Rapids -0.5 ball 1.98

1.5 units Sporting Kansas City level ball 1.83

We discussed Colorado ahead of their 3-0 win over Portland at the weekend, when I wrote....

I cannot bet Colorado tonight, the odds are too short for me, but they are a side I expect to improve greatly in the coming weeks. They will be getting busy in the transfer market and have a whole host of key players coming back from long term injuries all together. They removed midfielder Jamie Smith from the disabled list after eight-mont's out, Marvel Wynne returned to the line-up last week after a month sidelined with a hamstring injury and prolific strike partners Conor Casey and Omar Cummings could play together for the first time since July 16, 2011 ! Portland will be without suspended defender Hanyer Mosquera. Timbers are toothless up front and only scored twice on the road all season. This really should be a home win and that would give Rapids a real boost after losing their way recently, but no bet for me, given the quotes.

Cummings and Wynne are doubts tonight, it is always tough to play consecutive games after injury, but I expect at least one to play and overall, the Rapids look much stronger than a couple of weeks ago.

Big loss for the Vancouver Whitecaps with the suspension to Jun Marques Davidson, especially given that they are already without fellow midfielders John Thorrington and Matt Watson, new signing Bryan Robson, is said to be short of fitness and a spot on the bench is surely the most he can hope for.

Montreal Impact are now nine starts without a cleansheet and have conceded 16 goals in their last 7 starts, two or more in six of those, SKC are coming of two MLS losses, but have goals in them and have scored two or more in 6 of their last 9 outings in all competitions. It is warm and a bit sticky up in Montreal at present, but it will see like a spring day to the visitors, who have faced triple digit ( F) temperatures in Kansas recently.

Hosts have lost their top scorer Bernardo Corradi with a season ending injury and the worst defence in the MLS is without their two most experienced/ talented performers in Matteo Ferrari and  Nelson Rivas

Much stronger squad for the visitors and they will be looking for the three points to get them back in the hunt for the East title , there is some 2.25 even up to 2.40 around in a place or two for the visitors to score two or more which looks very nice, Impact have already done that in 67% of their recent starts and are now defensively weaker.

Good Luck.

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