I have been writing a sports betting blog GAMBLING AND OTHER WHOLESOME INTERESTS, since April 2006.
I also run a daily email service, this is a
subscription based pay service and subscribers receive my full daily
notes each day, usually at 10.00 UK time, at very busy times ( most
Sunday's for example) there are two emails per day. These are written in
newsletter format and usually include a brief look back at the events
of the previous day and full preview of all sporting events taking place
that day, or in the future, which interest me.
The
average email runs to between 1200-2000 words, with most events
discussed given reasonably comprehensive coverage. IMO the content is
worth more than the actual tip/ selection. Most of my readers are fairly
experienced punters ( not all), some are full time professional players
and need this information to make a considered call on whether to bet
the selection or not. Every event previewed carries either a black type suggestion, or red type
official selection, I would not expect readers/ subscribers to bet
everything, but some do and long term they
will make a profit,
but there is far more about the service than simply the bottom line and
by reading the full preview, readers will get far more from the emails.
This
is why I do not usually give out stats for the red type bets, as IMO
this devalues the content/ back type picks, all of which have great
value in my opinion.... I am writing them for a reason ! About 10% of
these previews are reproduced on the blog, the other 90%+ are only ever
available to subscribers and not published elsewhere.
I can explain the previews in a little more
detail..... Red
type picks are selections I will definitely be backing myself, the
black type have something if not exactly "wrong" with them, maybe
something which requires a little thought or consideration. This could
be that the odds have fallen below what I want to take, my minimum
quote, it might be that at the time of writing some teams news was still
unclear, it could be that I have already given a red type selection for
the game, all of these reasons are usually made clear.
For example, on June 13 for the Portugal - Denmark game my suggestion, where I was very keen on Portugal read .....However,
we are not going to get very fat on 1.85-1.9 for the win, so I will
leave it in black type, if the line shifts later in the day, or you find
2.0 + early in the match and both should be reasonably cautious through
the opening exchanges, then take it ( I would make that a 1.25 unit bet @ 2.0+).
Portugal traded at 2.06 after nine minutes and won 3-2.
Another example was this match LINK
, this was a game where if you read the preview it was obvious that I
was about as keen on the match as possible from a betting perspective,
but I gave two red type bets on the game and did not want to put up
five, so the three others were put up as suggestions, for subscribers to
make up their own mind. The two main bets won at 2.84 and 2.92 and two
of the black types also won at odds of 5.0 and 10.0, the correct score
of 6-2 @ 125-1 just missed, as Real won 5-2 and had a clear chance late
in the game for the sixth ! That game is an extreme example, it is rare
for me to ever put up even one extra suggestion in a game, let alone two
or three, but it gives
you an idea of how things work and also, subscribers were well aware of
exactly how keen I was on that match.
Any
red type selections are also given a ranking of between 0.25 and 2.0
units, one unit is standard, so I do not usually mention a stake for
these, just give the pick, sub one unit is rare, so most picks are
between 1-1.5 units, two units is my maximum and since the turn of the
year, whilst still only two units, these have been given a higher
ranking ( if that makes sense). There have been far fewer of them and
subscribers have been
told that the difference between a 1.5 and 2 unit pick is FAR greater
than even between a 0.5 and 1.5 unit selection and should be backed as
such. The maximum bets have all
the boxes ticked and whilst they are not "bankers", which is a term you
will never hear me use, they fulfill all my criteria, including the
most important of all and that is offering fantastic value. There have
been just three of these in 2012 and all have won at odds of 2.29, 2.20
and 2.00.
I
am loathe to give stats for the email service for the reasons given
above and also as they are not proofed anywhere, but over the last 15
weeks I have previewed over 300 events and put up 270 red type
selections, stakes were a
total of 327 units and returns 424.44 units,
a ROI of 129.80 % and a profit of 97.44 units, a 50 euro unit flat stake
would have won 4,872 euros . I have also put up "suggestions" in this sequence that have won at odds of 28-1 LINK 25-1 LINK , 9-1 LINK, 8-1 and many others, none of which are included in the profits shown above.
You can view six years of stats on the blog here LINK
and on that page there are further links to more detailed country by
county and sport by sport breakdowns, back in the day, most of my picks
were on the blog, now just a very small sample.
